The Short Version
This claim presents a definitive conclusion — that Oregon's plastic bag ban has not reduced overall plastic waste — but the comprehensive statewide waste generation data needed to confirm or deny it has not been published as of March 28, 2026. Oregon DEQ reports show the ban did shift consumption away from thin single-use plastic bags, and a 2025 peer-reviewed study found 25–47% fewer plastic bags at shoreline cleanups in ban jurisdictions. While substitution effects (thicker bags, increased trash bag sales) are real concerns, they have not been quantified for Oregon in net tonnage terms. The claim asserts certainty where none exists.