The Short Version
The available evidence directly contradicts this claim. The only explicit historical frequency count — from ESC Insight, covering the period since 2012 — shows that televoters had their winner twice as often as juries (4 televote-led wins vs. 2 jury-led, with 5 shared). While a recent trend in 2023–2024 favored jury-friendly winners, this narrow streak does not support the broad, unqualified "more often" assertion. The post-2016 voting system was specifically designed to give televotes structural parity with jury votes.