The Short Version
As of March 2026, the United States is conducting a large-scale military campaign against Iran — Operation Epic Fury — with hundreds of strikes across 26 of Iran's 31 provinces, 2,200 additional Marines deployed, and zero diplomatic or consular relations. Trump's vague social media musing about "winding down" operations is explicitly paired with reporting that a full ceasefire is not on the table. Allied governments expect the conflict to last into late 2026. The evidence overwhelmingly shows active, escalating war — not movement toward resolution.