The Short Version
No credible evidence supports the prediction that AI will fully replace software developers by 2030. The most authoritative sources — including Morgan Stanley, Gartner-linked analysis, and Bureau of Labor Statistics projections — consistently forecast continued developer employment growth and estimate AI will automate only 20–30% of routine coding tasks. The strongest displacement evidence cited applies to a narrow occupational subcategory ("Computer Programmers") at a 55% risk level, which is neither full replacement nor representative of the broader software development profession.